It’s quite possibly the single most important nomination President Obama will make—with nothing less at stake than both the U.S. and global economies, not to mention the potential starvation of millions of people inthe developing world—and last night on The Ed Show, Ed Schultz broke the news that the White House vetting has begun. What is not clear is whether the White House understands just how important this appointment is.
The position is commission member of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. It sounds boring, until you understand that how the CFTC does its job has a direct impact on how much money you pay at the gas station and the grocery store—and how much of that money goes to Wall Street. The CFTC’s function is to regulate the trading that takes place on everything from oil to wheat.
When things run well, as they did after FDR got his hands on them, the price of your heating oil and your gasoline and your bread and your cereal and your rice cakes and your cotton shirts and your sugar is determined by two factors everyone understands: Supply and demand. The reason bakers and heating-oil companies and airlines don’t just pay whatever price is dictated by current supply and demand is that sometimes unforeseen events can mess with supply (or demand). To hedge their bets against such price fluctuations, those companies I just mentioned (which are known as end users) started to buy contracts with their suppliers to lock in future prices. End users agreed to pay a little more six months or so down the road, in return for knowing they would pay no more than a little more.
For this system to work, end users actually need speculators. They keep the system liquid, and ensure a steady supply of futures traders willing to bet counter to however the end users are betting. You can’t have a casino where everyone’s betting on the same thing, after all. FDR recognized that speculators, left unchecked, could overwhelm the commodity exchanges with bets designed not to hedge against supply and demand, but designed to manipulate prices. He signed into law position limits, legal caps on the volume of Wall Street speculation that kept speculators in check and ensured that most of the futures trading was done by genuine end users.
But Wall Street smelled money. In accelerating fashion over the past two decades, Wall Street investment firms—led by Goldman Sachs—have chipped away at regulation and position limits. Remember how Enron jacked up the price of energy in California? That was just the first, biggest example of energy traders capitalizing on deregulation they themselves had pushed for. Global food riots of 2007 and 2008—and their recent sequels throughout the Mideast—along with gas spikes in 2008 and today, are just the latest iterations of the same thing that gave us the California blackouts.
The Dodd-Frank Wall Street reform law empowered the CFTC to restore the kinds of position limits FDR first put in place. But the CFTC hasn’t done it yet. The CFTC’s two Republican members have been joined by Michael Dunn, a Democratic Bush appointee, in blocking position limits. Dunn says he doesn’t believe position limits will reduce Wall Street speculation on commodities. Never mind the coalitions of public-interest groups and business groups aligned in desperate campaigns for position limits. Never mind that the investment banks themselves overwhelmingly concede that they’ve helped ramp up prices. In any case, Dunn’s term is almost up. And as Ed reported last night, the White House has begun vetting his replacement. So what’s the problem?
We asked the White House whether they’re committed to a nominee who believes in position limits. No answer. Even more troubling, if you review the White House response to the recent spikes in gas prices, there’s no mention of Wall Street. And no mention, therefore, of the CFTC as a weapon to stop it. No mention of House Republicans vowing to starve the CFTC of the funds it needs to keep Wall Street’s hands off our basic staples.
Instead, we get the mainstream media going on about Libya, which produces less than two percent of the world oil supply. We get Republicans spinning conspiracy theories that President Obama wants high gas prices. And the White House is actually wasting time wandering into fights it can’t win about the strategic reserves, looking for supply remedies to solve a problem that has little relation to supply (oil supply hit 18-year record highs just last month).
It’s possible the White House does grasp the nature of both problem and solution here—and that they merely want to slip a strong CFTC member under the GOP’s radar. But even from a political standpoint, a battle over the CFTC’s enforcement of position limits should be a gift to the Democrats. For one thing, some prominent Republicans are already on their side.
Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) has been a strong voice against commodity-futures speculation. So have a handful of other Republican lawmakers. In fact, so has the top-rated commentator on Fox News: Bill O’Reilly. As Ed showed in his report last night, O’Reilly is on record favoring a CFTC crackdown on oil speculators. But with the White House failure to educate on this issue, O’Reilly lately seems to be getting played. On his program last night, he brought up the role of speculators—but then appears to get talked down from it because he doesn’t seem to understand the difference between speculators who are genuine end users and speculators who are purely Wall Street bettors.
This is a complex issue, but no moreso than doing your taxes, or understanding Charlie Sheen. Wall Street is taking a bite out of every dollar you spend on heating your home, filling your gas tank and stocking up the refrigerator. The economy is at risk. Global access to food is at risk.
All this week, in conjunction with “The Nation” magazine, we’re going to lay out the issues on The Ed Show. Because if the White House drops the ball on this one, $4/gallon gas is likely to return, food prices are likely to go up around the world (forcing us to cut coupons, and third-world countries to cut meals) and the economic recovery is likely to stall. I hope you’ll watch this important series. And I hope the White House will watch it, too—because if they don’t get this right, by the time 2012 comes around, all those crazy right-wing theories will be right—the high price of gas really will be Obama’s fault.



What public interest groups, what business groups, what investment banks (by name) is he talking about? Great rhetoric, totally unsupported by facts or examples. As far as global food price increases, take a look at ethanol and the fed as the main culprits, not the speculators who "take the other side" of any transaction. (Subsidized ethanol removes corn (mainly) from the food chaiin, reducing supply) The fed's easy money quantitative easing in increasing the suplly of dollars, also contributing to the inflation in work food prices.
Hi Jim, if you click on the links, you'll see the specific business groups. As for investment banks, Goldman Sachs created the first commodities index. Others followed suit. One of the big problems now is that the lack of transparency in futures trading makes it difficult to identify in real time which investors are holding how much. But we're going to have some guests on later this week who will address exactly the specifics you're talking about, so I hope you'll keep watching. Thanks for reading and posting. As for quantitative easing, I admit to not knowing enough about the issue to say. Maybe it is a factor--but that doesn't mean Wall Street isn't also a factor.
Jonathan
I have to agree with Jim. The Administration continues to spend creating record deficits, and debt. The Fed cannot expect there to be no ramifications for introducing so much money to the system. Every time they print a new dollar, those already in the system lose value. This not only affects our economy but every economy in the world. I also agree with his statement about reducing our corn production for food to pursue the “Green Agenda”. Lastly the prohibitions on drilling for oil after the spill and in Anwar have extended our dependency on foreign oil. The current turmoil in the Middle Easthas reduced the oil supply and driven up costs. As stransportation cost increase due to fuel costs the price of everything will increase. Speculators and Big Business may very benefit from the Obama Administration policies, but they did not set the policy. The White House is the cause of inflation, no one else. Here is a suggestion. Stop MSNBC's continual attempts to excuse the Obama Administration, and report all the facts that contribute to our current economic situation. It would be refreshing.
People. Bush printed TONS of dollars too. What about those? And our economy TANKED, Crashed in 2008 because of GWB. HELLO wake up!
Obama is doing just fine. 100% better than the last administration ever did or could even think of doing.
Indy
Introducing billions of dollars into the system causes inflation regardless of the political party doing it. I don't know how you can blame Bush and the Democratic House and Senate from 2006 to 2010 for the last two years of uncontrolled spending. Wait a minute you didn't blame the Democratic Congress that was responsible for the budgets from 2006 to 2010 did you. Could it be your a Democrat?
How unfortunate some people are to think,and belive republicans,and democrats are of different principles.......A very ,very sad,sad, world we live in today.....The problems we the people are up against is the politicians, both republicans,and democrats........Among them are some whom we need to support,and replace the others.
Hey, Ed, I have a question for you....why, every comment do you make, do you backhand President Obama. I'm getting tired of it. The protests in Wisconsin he has stated that the Republicans are attacking unions; on other issues, if Republicans block every appointment, etc. what exactly would you want him to do? Get down and beg? He has done more for working people than any other President in the last two decades. However, liberals, Democratic congresspeople, and voters have sat back and not voiced their strong opinions about what is now going wrong with the government under Republican control. You expect him to carry the whole ball of wax. Stop putting him down in your little backhanded way. I'm getting tired of it. He's pushing a rock up a hill, how about some encouragement, rather than criticism.
Any one wants to talk about ethenol subsidies what about BP , EXXON , MOBIL who rake in billions in profit and yet receive government subsidies and yet besides probably dont pay in any tax revenue because of the tax loop holes . Like it was said our country had (glass-steigel ) has regulations put in place but wall street has the money to buy out our politicians and de- regulate government so Americans end up paying in at the gas pump . And yes the poor filthy rich speculators keep on getting tax breaks and republicans blame the middle class working folk for deficites in government . Its about time to look good and hard at where all the revenue was and who isnt paying in their fair share . Campaign finance reform would go a long way also to stop politicians from filling their pockets from lobbiests . But we wont see any of this if republicans have their way .
The Democrats had both the Hhouse and the Senate since 2006 and put forward a massive amount of election reform. Of course their refrom didn't stop the lobbyist or address campaign funding, but at least now the New Black Panthers can stand at our Pollin places with clubs without consequence. Don't take me the wrong way. Politicians, Republican and Democrats are responsible for our tax laws, lobbying, and regulations concerning campaign donations. There has been pleanty our opportunity for reform on both sides of the fence. You can't just blame the Republicans.
Couldn't agree more.Both republicans,and democrats are responsible for our tax laws.In both parties are rotten politicians who are in office to serve their wall street constituents more so than the people who believed in them.......I fault the politician.We need to observe their action rather than accepting everything they say at face value.Their lawyers,keep that in mind.
Couldn't agree more.Both republicans,and democrats are responsible for our tax laws.In both parties are rotten politicians who are in office to serve their wall street constituents more so than the people who believed in them.......I fault the politician.We need to observe their action rather than accepting everything they say at face value.Their lawyers,keep that in mind.
Ed I really appreciate your reporting thank you. But I am honestly fed up with our elected officials lying to us. I watched the clip you showed about President Obama saying he would support the Unions. But he has not taken any public action to show support. I am fed up with the way politicians are treating voters. They forget it was not the Mobil Oil, or The Koch's that elected them. Ed i really appreciate the support you show for working Americans. It is time that working Americans unite and remind the politicians who elect them. We want representation not lies and blame game. I am fed up with hearing about tax breaks for the rich and corporations. All the while the working man is expected to pay taxes regardless of their income. Tax breaks for corporations no new jobs being created. I agree the politicians want a low wage work force. It's time we stand united and hold our elected officials accountable and tell them no more lies...
Ed I really appreciate your reporting thank you. But I am honestly fed up with our elected officials lying to us. I watched the clip you showed about President Obama saying he would support the Unions. But he has not taken any public action to show support. I am fed up with the way politicians are treating voters. They forget it was not the Mobil Oil, or The Koch's that elected them. Ed i really appreciate the support you show for working Americans. It is time that working Americans unite and remind the politicians who elect them. We want representation not lies and blame game. I am fed up with hearing about tax breaks for the rich and corporations. All the while the working man is expected to pay taxes regardless of their income. Tax breaks for corporations no new jobs being created. I agree the politicians want a low wage work force. It's time we stand united and hold our elected officials accountable and tell them no more lies...
Its good to know someone is reporting the truth. I was just watching NBC Nightly News, the host is still covering up for those pocket liners, claiming gas prices are due to the declining dollar, taxes, and other nonsense. Come on, its plain and simple, speculators are running the show, lining their pockets! Futures trading and these speculators need to be better regulated and the American people to need to know the truth.
Heidi
Do you really think the Government can add trillions of dollars to the money already in circulation and not have a negative affect its value? It is only logical that the purchasing power of the dollar will diminish as more and more are added to the system. Those in the system cannot retain their value.
I guess anyone willing to believe the CO2 we expel from our breath is destroying the atmosphere is willing to believe adding dollars to our supply in circulation doesn’t reduce the value.
I bet you believe in the Tooth Fairy too.
We need to change something.
While we as consumers can't change the gas prices, we can be proactive to not pay so much. I joined a gas rebate club that gives me back 1/2 of what I spend at the gas pump back each month!Check it out: fillerupclub com/17362/invite